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Tropical Update with J7409 Monday Oct 1,2018

1,005 views · Published 1 October 2018 · 14:21 · Indexed 6 November 2026

Channel: J7409 · 2018 · Science & Technology

Tropical Update with J7409 Monday Oct, 1,2018.
watch https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dWSjPczlBSs
Tropical Storm Rosa...
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Weakening is forecast through tonight while Rosa approaches and
moves over the northern Baja California peninsula. Rosa is expected
to become a remnant low over the southwestern United States on
Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Rosa is expected to produce the following total rainfall
accumulations through Wednesday morning:

Baja California and northwestern Sonora: 3 to 6 inches, isolated
10 inches.

Central and Southern Arizona: 2 to 4 inches. Isolated 6 inch totals
are possible in the mountains of Central Arizona.

Rest of the Desert Southwest, Central Rockies, and Great Basin:
1 to 2 inches, isolated 4 inches.

These rainfall amounts may produce life-threatening flash flooding.
Dangerous debris flows and landslides are also possible in
mountainous terrain.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are spreading over the coast in
portions of the warning area. Tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area by late this afternoon or tonight.

SURF: Swells generated by Rosa will affect portions of the coasts
of southwestern Mexico, most of the west coast of the Baja
California peninsula, and southern California through Tuesday.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather,
Tropical Storm Leslie....
...LESLIE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN WHILE MOVING SLOWLY OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.2N 54.3W
ABOUT 615 MI...985 KM E OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was
located near latitude 33.2 North, longitude 54.3 West. Leslie is
moving toward the west-southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow
southwestward or southward motion is forecast during the next few
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and
Leslie is forecast to become a hurricane on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas,
portions of the coast of the southeastern United States, and most of
the Greater and Lesser Antilles during the next few days. These
swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. INIT 01/1500Z 33.2N 54.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 02/0000Z 32.7N 54.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 02/1200Z 31.6N 55.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 03/0000Z 30.7N 55.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 03/1200Z 30.4N 56.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 04/1200Z 32.5N 55.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 05/1200Z 35.7N 54.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 06/1200Z 37.4N 52.0W 60 KT 70 MPH

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