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Weather News and Tropical Update with J7409 9/28/18

1,206 views · Published 28 September 2018 · 13:52 · Indexed 10 November 2026

Channel: J7409 · 2018 · Science & Technology

Weather News and Tropical Update with J7409 9/28/18.
Remember some of the tropical weather can change.
...Much below normal temperatures across the northern and central Plains
into the upper Great Lakes...

...Lingering showers and thunderstorms expected along the Gulf Coast...

...Mixed precipitation expected for the higher elevations of the northern
Rockies...

A real taste of fall is expected for the northern and central Plains as
well as the upper Great Lakes for the next few days under the influence of
a cool Canadian high pressure system. Meanwhile, with an upslope flow
expected to persist along the eastern slopes of the northern Rockies, rain
is forecast to mix with or change over to snow over the higher elevations.
The cool air should continue to plunge southward into the central Plains
today and should reach the southern High Plains Saturday morning before
retreating for the remainder of the weekend. Some rain should develop in
the central Plains during the weekend as the cold front lifts northward as
a warm front.

The Mid-Atlantic into New England will see rain moving steadily eastward
through the morning followed by gradually clearing tonight as a cold front
pushes further to the south. The trailing front is forecast to stall near
or just inland from the Gulf Coast during the weekend. This will keep a
good chance of showers and thunderstorms along the southern tier states
today and into the weekend.
Kirk..... At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kirk was
located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 62.5 West. Kirk is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue during the next day or two. On the forecast
track, Kirk's center, or its remnants, will move across the eastern
and central Caribbean Sea over the next 2 or 3 days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Kirk is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression later today or
Saturday, and then degenerate into a trough of low pressure.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
to the north and east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are still occurring over portions
of the warning area and should continue to spread across the
remainder of the warning area today. Tropical storm conditions
are possible within the watch area during the next several hours.
Locally higher winds are likely atop and on the windward sides of
hills and mountains.

RAINFALL: Kirk is expected to produce total rainfall of 4 to 6
inches across the northern Windward and southern Leeward Islands
with isolated maximum totals up to 10 inches across Martinique and
Dominica. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides. Across Saint Croix and eastern Puerto Rico, Kirk is
expected to bring 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum totals of 6
inches today and Saturday.
Rosa......FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0900Z 16.9N 117.3W 125 KT 145 MPH
12H 28/1800Z 17.4N 117.9W 130 KT 150 MPH
24H 29/0600Z 18.4N 118.4W 120 KT 140 MPH
36H 29/1800Z 20.1N 118.8W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 30/0600Z 22.0N 118.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 01/0600Z 25.9N 117.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 02/0600Z 30.6N 115.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
120H 03/0600Z 38.2N 109.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND

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