Weather News with J7409 Sunday September 2,2018

1,760 views · Published 2 September 2018 · 13:47 · Indexed 21 September 2026

Channel: J7409 · 2018 · Science & Technology

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Weather News with J7409 Sunday September 2,2018.
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Remember this can change....
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southeastern and
central Bahamas and adjacent Atlantic waters, including the Straits
of Florida, are associated with a tropical wave interacting with an
upper-level trough.  This weather system is expected to move
west-northwestward across the remainder of the Bahamas, southern
Florida, and the Florida Keys during the next day or so and little,
if any, development is expected during that time due to strong
upper-level winds.  However, the current unfavorable upper-level
wind pattern is expected to gradually change and become more
conducive for a tropical depression to form over the eastern and
central Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday or Wednesday.  This disturbance
will spread locally heavy rains across much of the Bahamas, southern
Florida, and the Keys during the next day or two. See products from
your local weather forecast office for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
A cold front will move through the Upper Mississippi Valley and Great
Lakes region as a surface cyclone tracks east across northern Manitoba and
Ontario. As the next frontal system forms east of the Rockies and moves
out into the Central/Northern Plains this boundary will stall and then
lift as a warm front by Monday night/Tuesday morning. This will keep much
of the Plains/Upper Mississippi Valley/Upper Great Lakes in an active wet
pattern. Strong to severe thunderstorms will likely develop today across
portions of Kansas, Nebraska and Iowa -- where the Storm Prediction Center
has issued a Slight Risk for severe weather. In addition, these storms
will be capable of producing intense rainfall rates. Over the next couple
of days a wide swath of areal averages of 2 to 4 inches of rain is
forecast, with locally higher amounts. Slight risks of excessive
rainfall/flash flooding are in effect, along with a Moderate Risk across
Iowa and northwest Illinois. A few locations are already experiencing
moderate to major river flooding across Iowa and Wisconsin. Any additional
rainfall will exasperate the ongoing flooding.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to break out across portions of the
Southwest over the next couple of days as upper-level disturbances
encounter monsoonal moisture streaming into the region. Any of these
storms could produce locally heavy rain. A plume of ample moisture will
stream into the western and central Gulf Coast through Monday will help
generate widespread rain and thunderstorms in the Lower Mississippi Valley
and Gulf Coast. This moisture plume is forecast to shift westward, leading
to widespread rain and storms by Labor Day in parts of the Southern
Plains.



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