Why has the Gold Price Fallen Further? - by Illuminati Silver

4,546 views · Published 4 August 2015 · 5:58 · Indexed 25 September 2026

Channel: The 2% Brief · 2015 · People & Blogs

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Today is Tuesday 4th August 2015 and we are producing this video to attempt to answer the question, why are gold prices falling further? 

In summary, Gold is down because recent events have led to a reduction in risk aversion. The Greek crisis has been resolved, at least for now and Iran has signed the nuclear deal with the US. 
Fears of an interest rate rise by the US Fed have buoyed the dollar thereby dampening the precious metal market price.

Gold is the least preferred asset class right now and sentiment is at a low ebb. The total gold holdings in SPDR Gold Trust, the largest gold ETF in the world, has come down from 1,291 tonnes in 2012 to just  690 tonnes today, a fall of 47%, reflecting this decline.

China, the largest consumer of gold, has witnessed large scale selling and the fall in user demand from China because of their current economic condition has also influenced price.
In addition, Global consultancy Thomson Reuters GFMS says "seasonal strength between April and June saw India reclaim the top spot in regard to total gold consumption for the second quarter of 2015.
  
India was "easily the biggest consumer of all gold products in the second quarter," the report says, and please listen to this carefully, despite seeing no sizeable change in either jewellery or gold investment demand from a year earlier. China's household demand fell 24% in contrast, with the drop split across jewellery and investment.
 
Frank Holmes CEO of US Global Investors and a regular contributor to Kitco News summarises the position like this, and we quote:

“Besides apparent price manipulation, other factors are affecting gold's behaviour right now, three in particular:

1. The strong US Dollar
2. Interest rates on the rise
3. Slowing Manufacturing Activity

He adds: “China is the 800-pound commodity gorilla, and its own PMI has remained below the important 50 threshold for the last three months, indicating contraction."

He said on Kitco yesterday: “that the metal was acting more like a raw commodity than a safe-haven asset…. the key outside markets are also in a bearish posture for gold and silver, as the U.S. dollar index is higher and crude oil prices are lower." 

Incidentally, Copper and aluminium prices also fell to six-year lows. There is concern of massive deflation after the downbeat economic news coming out of China,”.

As we are entering the Monsoon period in India, the Holiday period in the UK and the west, and historically a ‘low demand’ period for the precious metals over the next 2 or 3 months, we can only, at this time, envisage even lower prices. 

We hope you like this video and found the information useful. If so, please give it a thumb up, comment and if you haven’t already done so, please subscribe. Also please share this on twitter and follow us @illuminatisilv1 and become a friend on our new Facebook Page – illuminati silver.

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