6th Plasma Filament De-Stabilization in 4 Weeks - Space Weather Update - This One's Headed Our Way!

3,465 views · Published 16 December 2017 · 6:34 · Indexed 25 October 2026

Channel: Oppenheimer Ranch Project · 2017 · People & Blogs

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Solar activity is very low as we descend to the bottom of solar cycle 24. The solar disk remained spotless. At approximately 15/1229 UTC, SDO/AIA 304 imagery observed a 13 degree long filament eruption along a channel centered near S25E37. A slow-moving CME was observed in C2 LASCO imagery, first visible at 15/1448 UTC.

Analysis is ongoing for any Earth-directed component from this event and preliminary results suggest a glancing blow on Dec 20-21st.

Look for geomagnetic storms to pick up as early as the 18th with K5 expected followed by the plasma filament arrival sometime after the 20th. This will lead to storm and/or weather intensification across the globe potentially. We will be monitoring the situation as it unfolds.

WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction
https://spaceweatherlive.com/en/solar-activity/wsa-enlil

http://spaceweathernews.com/

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http://neutronm.bartol.udel.edu/~pyle/EndPlot.png

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erta_Ale

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http://www.solarham.net/

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