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Destined For War (w/ Graham Allison) | The Kyle Bass Interviews | Real Vision™

2,448 views · Published 8 October 2018 · 1:43 · Indexed 8 November 2026

Channel: Real Vision Presents · 2018 · News & Politics

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Kyle Bass sits down with Graham T. Allison, professor of government at the Harvard Kennedy School, for a master class in geopolitics, economics, and history. These titans tackle the issue of China’s evolving role on the world stage through the juxtaposition of cultures, governments, and technology. Filmed on September 17, 2018 in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
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Destined For War (w/ Graham Allison) | The Kyle Bass Interviews | Real Vision™
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Trannscript:
So when I read your book, and I think everybody that reads it reads the title, reads the full text cover to cover. And we come away thinking there is some percentage probability that Graham Allison thinks could take us to war. And there's some percentage probability that he takes it, say, we may not, we may get into these four areas of peace. If you were to give me the probability of war after all the work you've done and after all the thought you've put to it, what is that probability if you put it into a number for me? 
Well, it's very hard to do. So and I'm schizophrenic about it, so I don't really have a single number. So let me just describe. 
Is it better than half? 
I would say-- my schizophrenia is I'm congenitally an optimist. So I don't believe ultimately that things will turn out badly because I believe we will end up finding our way to a degree of imagination. On the other hand, if I were simply analyzing the case on the basis of the record, I would be pessimistic and say it was as likely as not, maybe slightly more likely than not. But not necessary and not inevitable. So the question is, what do we do?

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