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Many Changes In This Tropical Update Sun Evening 7- 8-18

1,220 views · Published 8 July 2018 · 15:47 · Indexed 26 October 2026

Channel: J7409 · 2018 · Science & Technology

Many Changes in the Tropical Update. Sunday Evening 7-8-18
watch https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6vgRK3Q_AjY
REMEMBER THIS CAN CHANGE........
Beryl...
Now
that Beryl is no longer considered to be a tropical cyclone, the
reconnaissance mission for this evening has been canceled.

On days 3-5, there appears to be an opportunity for the remnants of
Beryl to regenerate into a tropical cyclone when the system moves
through the Bahamas and into the southwestern Atlantic. Vertical
wind shear conditions are forecast by most of the models to be
light, with even the possibility of the development of a weak
upper-level anticyclone across the Bahamas. The combination of the
favorable upper-level wind flow pattern in conjunction with
sea-surface temperatures of 28-29 deg C should yield conditions
conducive for the reformation of a tropical cyclone, although
Beryl's low-level remnants are likely to be significantly disrupted
by Hispaniola and could take some time to reform. The remnants of Beryl
should maintain this rapid west-northwestward motion for the next
12 hours, passing over the Leeward Islands tonight and moving into
the northeastern Caribbean Sea Monday morning. Although Beryl is no
longer a tropical cyclone, advisories will continue to be issued on
this system until the tropical storm watch for Dominica has been
discontinued. Tropical storm conditions are possible for Dominica tonight.
Elsewhere across the Leeward Islands, strong gusty winds and locally
heavy rains are possible tonight and Monday, and these conditions
are expected to spread across the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and
Hispaniola on Tuesday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/2100Z 15.2N 60.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...REMNANTS
12H 09/0600Z 16.2N 63.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL WAVE
24H 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED

Chris..........
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the coast of North Carolina should monitor the
progress of this system. No significant motion is expected
during the next 2 to 3 days.

Data from an Air Force reconnaissance plane indicate that the
maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Chris is forecast to become a hurricane on Monday
and additional strengthening thereafter.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km).
Swells generated by Chris are expected to increase and affect
portions of the coasts of North Carolina and the mid-Atlantic states
into early next week. These swells could cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.

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