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Tropical Update with J7409 Kirk is Born

2,960 views · Published 22 September 2018 · 24:48 · Indexed 12 November 2026

Channel: J7409 · 2018 · Science & Technology

Tropical Update with J7409 Kirk is Born.
watch https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1_Q5rEx3dQ4
REMEMBER This Can Change........
1. Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to become better
organized near the center of a low pressure system located about
500 miles south of the southern Cabo Verde Islands, and a tropical
depression appears to be forming. If these trends continue,
advisories will be initiated on this system later today while the
low moves westward at about 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located about 200 miles south of
Bermuda is producing only minimal shower activity. Strong upper-
level winds are expected to diminish by Sunday or Monday, which
could allow for some slow development of this system while it moves
westward and then northwestward over the southwestern Atlantic
Ocean. By the middle of next week, upper-level winds are likely to
strengthen again, which would limit additional development as the
system moves closer to the southeastern coast of the United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

3. Satellite imagery indicates that a non-tropical low pressure system
is forming along a frontal boundary about 900 miles west-southwest
of the Azores. Conditions are expected to become conducive for the
low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics, and a
subtropical or tropical cyclone is likely to form by early next week
while the low meanders over the central Atlantic Ocean. For more
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
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