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Tropical Update We Have an X Monday Afternoon 6 -11- 18

1,412 views · Published 11 June 2018 · 12:03 · Indexed 5 October 2026

Channel: J7409 · 2018 · Science & Technology

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Tropical Update we now have an X.  But Don't Panic Yet.
watch https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6GzLXdoqK-g


Bud is a cat 3, Aletta is dieing out, and we now have an X showing up in the Caribbean Sea.  As of now looks like nothing should come of it , except a very intensified Low...I will keep my eyes on it and report what i see.  REMEMBER all this can change.  People in the Manzanille and Cabo Corrientes of Mexico  are under a tropical storm watch at this time.
Bud Information....A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
 Bud is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches across much of southwestern Mexico, with isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches into Tuesday afternoon.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
beginning this afternoon.

GULF OF MEXICO...

A mid to upper-level trough extending across the eastern Gulf and
the NW Caribbean into northern Central America continues to 
enhance the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms 
across the eastern Gulf, and over parts of Florida. Convection is 
now more concentrated over the southeast Gulf waters and the 
Yucatan Channel. The remainder of the Gulf is under the influence 
of the Atlantic ridge that extends westward across Florida into 
the Gulf.

The mid to upper trough will meander over the Gulf of Mexico 
through the week and continue to enhance convection mainly across
the eastern gulf waters. A surface trough will develop along the 
Yucatan Peninsula late each afternoon, drift westward across the 
southwest Gulf during the overnight hours accompanied by a fresh 
east to southeast wind shift with the trough dissipating along 96W
during the late mornings. Guidance is suggesting a fresh to 
strong wind shift will accompany the trough beginning on Wed 
evening as the pressure gradient tightens during the middle of the
week. 

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A mid to upper-level trough extends across the west Caribbean with
axis along 86W. A diffluent flow to the east of this trough is
enhancing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms between
73W-84W. A surface trough was analyzed within this convection,
extending from 19N79W to 12N82W. A tight pressure gradient will 
support strong trades across the south-central and southwest 
Caribbean through the week, with these conditions spreading north 
across the central Caribbean by the Wednesday, and across the the 
west Caribbean by late this week. The mid to upper-level trough 
will prevail across the west Caribbean through the week enhancing 
convection across this area. 


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