Hurricane Nate is officially a Quezacotl RainTrain SUPERSTORM!!!
3,072 views · Published 8 October 2017 · 7:41 · Indexed 28 October 2026
Channel: thornews · 2017 · News & Politics
Hurricane Nate made landfall & then turned into a giant rain train superstorm. He's just the 1st of his kind. He's to be watched and studied for sure. Wow. Impressive. Strange Days, indeed. God bless everyone, T https://www.paypal.me/THORnews @newTHOR on twitter https://www.facebook.com/thornewsgo article on storm https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/nate-sweeps-across-us-gulf-coast Nate Sweeps Across U.S. Gulf Coast Hurricane Nate made its first U.S. landfall near the mouth of the Mississippi River at around 7 pm CDT Saturday as a Category 1 hurricane. Packing top sustained winds of 85 mph, Nate pushed a compact zone of strong wind and torrential rain onshore across coastal Mississippi and Alabama, just east of its center. Fortunately, Nate never developed a complete, mature eyewall. Had that happened on Friday night, Nate could have rapidly strengthened well into the Category 2 intensity range. Nate is the ninth consecutive Atlantic hurricane of 2017—the most Atlantic hurricanes to occur in a row since 1893. Nate is also the fourth hurricane to reach U.S. shores in the last seven weeks, including Maria’s catastrophic landfall on Puerto Rico as the devastating hits from Harvey in Texas and Irma in Florida. (See our Saturday morning post for more on this hyperactive Atlantic hurricane season.) At 10 pm CDT Saturday, Nate’s broad eye was moving north at 20 miles an hour, centered about 35 miles south-southwest of Biloxi, MS. Nate’s northern eyewall pushed across the Mississippi and Alabama coasts between 10 and 11 pm CDT. Overall, surface winds in this northern eyewall remained well below hurricane strength. At 10 pm CDT, Kessler Air Force Base in Biloxi reported heavy rain with sustained east winds of 35 mph, gusting to 43—still below tropical storm strength. A gust to 56 mph was recorded at 7:48 pm CDT at Dauphin Island, LA. Nate’s storm surge pushed onshore Saturday night just as water levels were approaching high tide, and water levels were rising quickly at several locations along the Mississippi and Alabama coast just before midnight CDT. The surge was entering the lobby of at least one coastal casino in Biloxi. Among the highest surge reports through midnight Saturday night on the NOAA Tides & Currents QuickLook page for Nate: Why did many of the surge amounts from Nate fall short of the peak inundation levels featured in NHC advisories? One reason is that these predicted inundation levels are “worst-case” values, expected to be achieved in only the worst 10% of cases like the current one (thus providing a margin of safety to guide evacuation decisions). As noted by surge expert Dr. Hal Needham, Nate’s surge potential was lessened by its quick motion—which allowed less time for the storm to pile up water along its track—and by its relatively small swath of peak winds. Nate to bring heavy rains across parts of the eastern U.S. With its less-than-textbook structure allowing for fast decay, and its rapid motion taking it quickly away from its oceanic fuel source, Nate will weaken below hurricane strength by Sunday morning and will likely be a tropical depression by late Sunday night, racing northeast along the Appalachian mountain chain. By Monday night, Nate is expected to be a remnant low moving across southern New England along a preexisting frontal zone. The main product from Nate inland from the coast will be heavy rain, with the totals tempered somewhat by Nate’s quick motion. One stripe of 4 – 6” totals will extend across Alabama into the southern Appalachians, perhaps including Nashville and/or Atlanta. Totals of 4 – 6” are also possible from Kentucky into West Virginia along the front mentioned above. Widespread, beneficial 2 – 4” rains will fall across a broad swath from the Ohio Valley across much of New England. The rainfall from Nate would be much heavier if Nate were moving more slowly, or if its moisture were gobbled up by a strong midlatitude storm. An envelope of extremely moist air around Nate will merge with a frontal system to produce what could be some the highest amounts of atmosphere moisture (precipitable water, or PW) ever recorded in October over parts of the Ohio Valley and Northeast. At 7 pm CDT Saturday, a radiosonde measured a PW value of 2.59” at Slidell, LA, the second-highest amount on record for the New Orleans area in October. Below are several of the peak PW amounts predicted by the 00Z Sunday GFS model for the period from Sunday night into Monday morning, compared to the largest PW amounts measured above each location in October since radiosonde measurements began more than 60 years ago. Even if the GFS is overdoing things, this will be a remarkably moist swath of air, and Monday will feel more like a mild, damp August day than an October day across large parts of the Northeast.
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