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US Ratings Agency – Moodys – cuts outlook for China from ‘stable to negative’

1,340 views · Published 2 March 2016 · 3:45 · Indexed 12 November 2026

Channel: The 2% Brief · 2016 · People & Blogs

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Today is Wednesday 2nd March 2016 and we are very briefly looking at the US rating agency Moody’s recent comments on China.

As mentioned in previous videos, China's economy, the second-largest in the world, is growing at the slowest rate for 25 years, as it attempts to move from an export-led nation to one led by consumption and services. The slowdown in China's economy has created considerable uncertainty in financial markets and has led to sharp falls in commodity prices.

Today, the US ratings Agency Moody's has cut its outlook for China from "stable" to "negative".

While reaffirming its current debt rating, the agency warned that reforms were needed to avoid a downgrade. Moody's said the change in outlook was based on expectations that Beijing's fiscal strength would continue to decline.

It stated in a note: "Without credible and efficient reforms, China's GDP growth would slow more markedly as a high debt burden dampens business investment and demographics turn increasingly unfavourable…….. Government debt would increase more sharply than we currently expect."

This should come as no surprise as we now have Individual Countries Banks, The European Central Bank and the IMF all expressing concern over China plus to some extent blaming it for the world’s slowdown in economic growth. Whilst to some extent this is true, one has to seriously ask the question why have nations allowed themselves to become so dependent on one Country’s economy? That said, we are where we are, and we must all ponder when making investment and financial decisions, do we think there is more bad news ahead, or can China and the rest of the World’s economies improve from here?

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US Ratings Agency – Moodys – cuts outlook for China from ‘stable to negative’

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