Look Who it Was Random video

Tropical Cyclone 14 S Eliakim Update 2 March 17 12:00 La Reunion time AEST 18:00

762 views · Published 17 March 2018 · 4:55 · Indexed 10 November 2026

Channel: Force Thirteen · 2018 · Science & Technology

Watch on YouTube

REMARKS:
170300Z POSITION NEAR 16.0S 49.5E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (ELIAKIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SYMMETRIC SYSTEM PRESENTLY OVER MADAGASCAR WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION AND QUASI-STATIONARY MOVEMENT OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED PRIMARILY ON AGENCY SATELLITE FIXES IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH EACH OTHER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY ASSESSMENT OF 45 KNOTS REFLECTS A WEAKENING TREND DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND SUPPORTED BY LOCAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A POINT SOURCE DIRECTLY OVER 14S WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND STRONG POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. TC 14S IS CURRENTLY QUASI-STATIONARY WITH THE MAIN STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST CURRENTLY REORIENTING ITSELF ON A NORTH-SOUTH AXIS. THE TRACK IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS PARTIALLY DUE TO TOPOGRAPHICAL FEATURES ON MADAGASCAR LIMITING FURTHER WESTWARD MOTION AT THE SURFACE AND DUE TO THE REORIENTING STR. LAND INTERACTION WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM BEFORE RE-EMERGING OVER OPEN WATER SOMETIME AROUND TAU 36. SSTS WILL BE SUPPORTIVE INITIALLY NEAR 28 CELSIUS, BUT WILL DECLINE 
CONSIDERABLY AFTER TAU 72 ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER WINDOW OF LIMITED INTENSIFICATION WITH OTHERWISE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT. BEYOND TAU 72 TC 14S WILL BEGIN INTERACTING WITH A DEVELOPING MID LATITUDE TROUGH AND BEGIN TRANSITIONING INTO A COLD CORE SYSTEM.

Extracted JTWC

More from this channel