Solar Storm Forecast 01-08-14

2,327 views · Published 8 January 2014 · 3:36 · Indexed 13 October 2026

Channel: Dr.Tamitha Skov · 2014 · Education

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A new monster sunspot cluster on the Sun has elevated activity to a whole new level this week! We've had multiple M-class flares and an X1.2-flare on January 7th from this monster region (AR#1944) that have sent two solar storms our direction. One storm has just hit Earth as of this posting and the second, a potentially strong solar storm (NOAA category G3), is expected to hit Earth on January 9th. This latter storm could bring aurora to mid-latitudes as low as Colorado and Spain in the north and the souther tip of Australia in the south. 

We are also in the middle of a strong solar radiation storm (just skimming below NOAA category S3) thanks to a West limb M-flare on January 6th and the X-flare on January 7th. NASA radiation dose models for aviation show yellow safety alerts for pregnant women traveling on certain long-duration flight paths, especially at high latitudes.


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For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.

Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/ 
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/ 
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
NOAA Sunspot Classifications: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/lates...
GONG: http://gong2.nso.edu/dailyimages/
GONG Magnetic Maps: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch

Solar Wind:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/ace_rtsw_data.html
Wang-Sheeley-Arge Solar Wind Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ws/
NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSy...
NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wsa-enlil/

Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/mag_3d.html
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://helios.swpc.noaa.gov/ovation/
POES Auroral Global Maps: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html
Wing Kp index prediction: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wingkp/index.html
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
USGS Disturbance Storm-Time (Dst): http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/dst/
NAIRAS Radiation Storm Model: http://terra2.spacenvironment.net/~raps_ops/current_files/globeView.html
HAARP Data Meters: http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/haarp/

Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
SOLARIMG: http://solarimg.org/artis/ 
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html 

Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/


None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use. 

Images c/o NASA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, STEREO, CCMC, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.

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