Solar Storm Forecast 10-11-2013

2,949 views · Published 12 October 2013 · 5:19 · Indexed 21 October 2026

Channel: Dr.Tamitha Skov · 2013 · Education

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Along with increase in M-flares, the Sun has been very busy launching solar storms at Earth, with the next one due to reach us on October 12. We have had multiple solar storms hit us recently so even a small one could have a big effect. Several new sunspots are growing more unstable, notably 1865 and 1861, which has given us an M2.8 class flare already. Expect flare activity to increase this week and with that an increasing possibility of more solar storms headed our way. Learn about all this as well as the recent satellite disruptions caused by the increased solar activity in this latest video forecast.

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For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.

Special Interest Segment:
IC article on Rogers/Fido: http://www.iphoneincanada.ca/carriers/rogers/rogersfido-cell-network-experiencing-outages-nationwide/
GMA article on Rogers: http://www.gmanetwork.com/news/story/330352/economy/companies/canada-s-rogers-communications-restores-services-following-nationwide-outage
The Register article on JUNO spacecraft flyby of Earth: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2013/10/09/juno_spacecraft_set_for_earth_flyby/

Aurora photos:
Joe Huff, New York: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=87308
Minoru Yoneto, New Zealand: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=87301
Cory Schmitz, Iowa: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9LT1EFDkFpU&feature=c4-overview&list=UUkwwL0k141qBHZ-vG-bnGZw
Chad Blakley, Norway: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=87549
Valentin Jiganov, Russia(?): http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=87618
Monica Petersen, BC/Canada: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=87650
Carl, Selfoss Iceland: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=87674

Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/ 
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/ 
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
NOAA Sunspot Classifications: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/lates...
GONG: http://gong2.nso.edu/dailyimages/
GONG Magnetic Maps: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch

Solar Wind:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/ace_rtsw_data.html
Wang-Sheeley-Arge Solar Wind Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ws/
NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSy...
NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wsa-enlil/

Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/mag_3d.html
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://helios.swpc.noaa.gov/ovation/
POES Auroral Global Maps: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html
Wing Kp index prediction: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wingkp/index.html
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
USGS Disturbance Storm-Time (Dst): http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/dst/
HAARP Data Meters: http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/haarp/

Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
SOLARIMG: http://solarimg.org/artis/ 
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html 

Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/


None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use. 

Images c/o NASA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, STEREO, CCMC, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.

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