Solar Storm Forecast 10-22-2014
3,215 views · Published 22 October 2014 · 5:59 · Indexed 8 October 2026
Channel: Dr.Tamitha Skov · 2014 · Education
A gargantuan sunspot crosses the Earth-strike zone this week, but despite 2 X-class flares and nearly 10 M-class flares, no Earth-directed solar storm has been launched yet. The only storm this active region launched was back on October 14 when it sent a storm towards Mars for a rendezvous with Comet Siding Spring. Still, between this flare activity and an extended coronal hole sending us fast solar wind, we have many chances for GPS and satellite phone-radio-internet disruptions as well as aurora possibilities over the coming week. Ham radio operators might also get a bit frustrated with the numerous radio blackouts on the sunlit side of the Earth due to the extensive flaring. Learn details of how this activity might affect you and what else the Sun has in store for us this week. For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below. Aurora Photography: Jamie Swanson Silver Bay, Minnesota: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=103103 Alan Tough Moray, Scotland: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=103225 Mark Seibold Trillium Lake, Oregon: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=103198 Aleksey Yakovlev Russia, Siberia, Strezhevoy: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=103202 Taichi Nakamura South Island, New Zealand: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=103405 Jo Malcomson South Arm, Tasmania: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=103425 Alex Contu Lofoten, Norway: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=103085 Solar Imaging and Analysis: SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/ Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/ STEREO-EUVI + SDO-AIA 360° Heliographic Maps: http://tcrb.nrl.navy.mil/~iuu/maps360... Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest... Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/lat... GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xra... SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/ Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/ NOAA Sunspot Classifications: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/ GONG: http://gong2.nso.edu/dailyimages/ GONG Magnetic Maps: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/ LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch Solar Wind: NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/ace_rtsw... Wang-Sheeley-Arge Solar Wind Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ws/ NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSy... NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wsa-enlil/ Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere: GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/mag... Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/ Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://helios.swpc.noaa.gov/ovation/ POES Auroral Global Maps: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/ Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_... Wing Kp index prediction: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wingkp/index... USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/ USGS Disturbance Storm-Time (Dst): http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/dst/ NAIRAS Radiation Storm Model: http://terra2.spacenvironment.net/~ra... HAARP Data Meters: http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/haarp/ Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites: SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com SOLARIMG: http://solarimg.org/artis/ iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/ None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use. Images c/o NASA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, STEREO, CCMC, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
